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(Ferndale, Washington)
Postmodern Agriculture - Food With Full Attention
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A friend of mine suggested I read The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Rhythm of History (1996) by David Hackett Fischer, a historian who teaches at Brandeis University. Fischer has done quite a good job of parsing out demographic waves (hence the title) using price data and he is comfortable with the anthropological view of culture. A couple of years ago, I made the comment at a meeting that "Culture trumps economics - look at the growth of the organic movement in the last 40 years," and the three economics professors on the panel and in the audience became quite irate. Besides being thin-skinned, these highly-paid professionals didn't seem to understand that I was talking about household economics rather than slamming their discipline. Fischer, on the other hand, has no ox to gore and is quite abstemious in presenting his own theory of causal explanation for the price waves he describes.
In a nutshell, Fischer describes four great demographic waves using deep change in price movements over the last 800 years. By necessity, the data is more readily available for Europe and the western world, but there is a certain Eurocentrism prevalent in this type of exercise. I don't see it as much of a problem, however, since the expansion of colonization into the New World was driven by European naval powers and Fischer does bring in some of the Asian influences whenever he can. The first wave started with harvest fluctuations and famine in the 13th century, which put quite a bit of stress on individuals and societies even before the Black Death hit in the mid-14th century. This resulted in a crash in population and a later equilibrium which resulted in the Renaissance. The second wave was the crisis of the 17th century, which began with population increase and price instability in the late 15th century. The second crash in population paved the way for the second equilibrium of the Enlightenment. It should be noted that by the time of this second wave, the New World was now producing staple commodities for Europe, so this served as a buffer, of sorts, against demographic volatility in Europe. However, this "buffer" also engendered its own problems, especially as the American colonies acted upon Enlightenment ideals. Nevertheless the third wave started again with the demographics of overpopulation and high grain prices. The inevitable revolutionary crisis of the mid-to-late 18th century in America, France and the rest of Europe reached its culmination in the Napoleonic Wars and ended at Waterloo. This time, however, the nations of Europe were more savvy in preventing social violence through standing armies, state police forces and some social welfare. This provided enough sustenance to keep the poor hungry, but not riotous. The next equilibrium was the Victorian, named after Queen Victoria and roughly coincident with her reign.
The Victorian Equilibrium saw the rise, once again, of population and prices, and this led to our own fourth wave. Now we have a huge population that is at a crisis point. Fischer does not hazard a guess as to the new equilibrium or even whether it is inevitable, but he does provide some models for understanding the four great waves. He describes seven causal models extant in the historical literature - monetarist, Malthusian, Marxist, agrarian, neoclassical, environmental, and historicist - and proceeds to demolish each one. Fischer then goes on to suggest a model of autogenous change. This model builds on culture as a complex web of causal relationships and history as a sequence of contingencies. Contingency and choice are vital elements - people make choices based on what is available. To be blunt, "Culture trumps economics." Optimization and optimal foraging concepts (I am hunting rabbits but if I see a deer, I will always go for the deer.) do not apply. People decide to have more children and they change the way they make economic decisions. The result is that aggregate demand grows faster than supply, thus increasing prices. This is a valid model, but Fischer has missed something important.
Fischer's book was published in 1996, before peak oil and climate change had reached a wide audience. Nowhere in his book does he talk about the impact of coal or petroleum as providing new energy "slaves" that increased production and allowed humans to increase their population. Nowhere does he talk about population overshoot as a lagging effect on demand. One can certainly factor in the role of coal in the Industrial Revolution and the surplus energy of cheap oil in allowing populations to continue to increase after a wave "breaks." If you do so, one causal model of Fischer's seven models rises to the top once again - the Malthusian model. This model, from Thomas Malthus' An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798), states that societal improvement results in population growth, which then results in population crashes, since "The power of population is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man." Fischer's criticism of the Malthusian model is that it works fine for the first two waves, but not the third and fourth. However, if you factor in the rise of coal as an energy slave that powers the Industrial Revolution from 1750 to 1850, we can postulate that increasing productivity mitigated the effects of the crash of the third wave in the early 1800's. In other words, a cheap energy source allowed more population and a continuation of the underlying population increase between the crash of the third wave and the Victorian Equilibrium. In the fourth wave, petroleum has allowed populations to increase beyond all former limits and even beyond the carrying capacity of the earth. The upshot is that Malthus' model would have worked with the third wave, if not for the intercession of the energy slave of coal keeping productivity up high enough so European populations had enough to eat. The same holds for the fourth wave, but the energy slave is cheap oil and this has allowed even higher levels of population in a time of increasing prices. Thus, the Malthusian model is just "put on hold" until the coal was replaced by oil (third wave) and until the cheap oil runs out (fourth wave). Notice that coal didn't run out, but was replaced by cheap oil. Nor will cheap oil run out, as some so blithely suggest. Peak oil is based on energy return on investment (EROI), which simply means that it costs energy to extract energy. Right now, cheap oil is still returning at a rate of at least 5:1 calories returned for calories to get it out of the ground, refined, and to market. I say at least because some sources still use a ratio of 20:1, but 5:1 is still economical to power modern societies. The end of oil as a fuel will come when it is uneconomical to use it, in a real thermal energy sense, not just by price.
The bottom line is that Fischer's book provides a theoretical model for describing some of the demographic events of the past 800 years, but it is dated. The concept of autogenous change is quite good and deserves further analysis. I recommend this book highly, and it is not as dry as you might think. You should note that the book is only 258 pages itself, but also features another 250 pages of notes and appendices. I rather liked that.
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Posted by Walter
@ 11:43 AM PDT
There was an interesting article in Friday's New York Times on Sweden's latest efforts to quantify emissions. Since an estimated 25% of industrialized nations' carbon emissions can be traced to the food they eat (not only production, but transportation, marketing, cooking, etc.), Lantmannen, Sweden's largest farming organization, decided to label greenhouse gas emissions of food.
The labels take into account variation on where the food is grown (for example carrots can vary by a factor of 10), whether a farmer grows his/her own cattlefeed, whether peat has been plowed up (releases huge amounts of carbon dioxide), and a host of other issues. In short, it is comprehensive and very similar to my demand of the local environmental economists for "a metric that crosses all platforms." I favor kilocalories, which are translatable into joules, KWH, and BTUs. The Swedes are using kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalents. Not to be outdone, KRAV, Scandinavia's main organic certification program, has announced that next year farmers will have to convert to low-emissions programs to keep their certification. This means most greenhouse tomatoes in Scandinavia will no longer be labeled organic, since greenhouses are such energy hogs. This is something most US organic growers are not considering in their own tomato production.
Sweden is a small country, with a largely homogenous population. Sweden has a long history of dealing with Russia/USSR during the Cold War, while simultaneously having most of its links with the US and the EU. It is also mostly unburdened by religion and the government actually listens to its people. Thus, conditions are favorable for programs to lower its carbon emissions. In the US, the game is quite different and there really is no hope of getting something like this program going anytime in the near future. Once again, us little people have to do it ourselves and on a local level first. Here is the article for your examination.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/23/world/europe/23degrees.html?_r=1&th&emc=th
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Posted by Walter
@ 10:01 AM PDT
Last Sunday at a seed swap event, I got a new angle on squash and pumpkin seeds. I eat them all the time and I usually toast them with salt and chili powder. Whenever I bake a squash, I clean the seeds and put them on a baking pan on a shelf directly under the baking squash sections. They only need half an hour or so. The new angle on squash is they are also a good protein source for vegans. I'm not a vegan, but a couple of my customers are, so I am always looking for vegan tips. Here's a list of some sources of protein, calcium and iron for vegans. The source is http://yourtotalhealth.ivillage.com/diet-fitness/stocking-vegans-pantry.html
Vegan sources of protein:
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Brewer's yeast
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Nuts
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Nut butters
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Soy products, especially TVP, tofu, soy nuts, soy milk and baked goods made with soy flour
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Pumpkin and squash seeds
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Legumes
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Whole grains, especially quinoa, spelt and brown rice
Vegan sources of calcium:
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Almonds
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Filberts
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Kale
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Collards
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Tofu
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Broccoli
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Bok choi
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Turnip greens
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Okra
Vegan sources of iron:
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Cooking in iron skillets
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Brewer's yeast
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Pumpkin and squash seeds
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Blackstrap molasses
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Soybeans
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Wheat germ
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Pine nuts
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Dried lima beans
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Potatoes with their skin on
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Dried raisins, prunes, apricots
Vegan sources of vitamin B12:
Snacks that make good and tasty use of these foods include:
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Trail mix made with fortified cereal, pumpkin seeds, raisin and peanuts
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Muffins made with wheat germ, soy flour and sweetened with molasses (only use a little, as blackstrap is a strong and bitter molasses that may overpower the muffin if used in excess)
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Tofu cubes
Squash is quite easy to grow, as you can dig out a hill to plant them every six feet and space your rows six feet apart. You can even just slot them into your landscaping wherever you have some room and you don't mind the vines. You don't have to till if you don't want, but you do have to control the grass. If you like, you can cover the ground with heavy mulch until the vines grow up enough to crawl all over and take over your mulching duties for you. It is good to keep a 18-inch circle bare until the plants are up, to make sure the ground is warm. This is not hard to weed by hand. Around here (NW Washington) we can direct seed both summer and winter squash around mid-May. Some people with greenhouses start squash inside to get an extra jump on the weather. I don't bother. My favorite squash is Buttercup and I have my own variety, which resulted from a favorable mutation I discovered several years ago. It has orange flames that lick up the side of the dark green background. It is quite striking and I call it Flame Buttercup. I also grow Butternut, which I like in soups, and Hubbard, which I think has the best seeds of the squashes I have tried. Pumpkin seeds are even better and some pumpkins are grown just for their seeds. I think that's a good idea. Since summer squash (including zucchini) are Cucurbita pepo, like pie pumpkins, you could grow them out to maturity and eat their seeds too. Carving pumpkins are usually Cucurbita maxima, but you could certainly eat their seeds too. You have to be careful of crossing between varieties of the same species, so isolation of a quarter mile is preferred, but you could certainly plant C. maxima in with C. pepo. As I have mentioned before, squash was one of the earliest domesticates, for good reasons. Growing them as a seed source is another of their beneficial aspects.
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Posted by Walter
@ 04:53 AM PDT
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Recently I posted an intentional slogan/soundbite on the Transition Whatcom site. It started with "Diversity, diversity, diversity" and went on to list a few new crops we might want to try up here in the Fourth Corner - okra, figs, etc. The post ended with the same slogan/soundbite/catch phrase, "Diversity, diversity, diversity. [The Transition Whatcom site is proving to be a valuable tool. If you are interested, the link to the main page is: http://transitionwhatcom.ning.com/.]
Back in the 60's and early 70's, slogans and cliches were important - Make Love Not War, Free Angela, End the War Now, Every Soldier is a Prisoner of War, etc. Coupled with a can of spray paint, it was a way to let other "heads" know there were more of us around and to remind everyone else that antiauthoritarianism was still alive and well, even though it had been driven underground by Nixon's thugs and his supporters in local police departments. Today the constant battle for "hearts and minds" (Remember that one?) still goes on but many people are so numbed by the soundbite culture of TV that everything washes over them. The sloganeering of the 60's itself contributed to the soundbite culture, simply because it was effective. Now soundbites are a main component of what passes for news and even common discourse. Those of us outside the mainstream still use them, although we use different media nowadays to get our message across. The principle remains the same.
I use soundbites myself. Trying to limit myself to easily digestible sentences helps tighten up my writing. It is similar to Hemingway's dictum, "First, write a simple true sentence; then write another one." [Disclaimer: The actual quote is, "All you have to do is write one true sentence. Write the truest sentence you know. So finally, I would write a true sentence and go on from there. It was a wonderful feeling when I had worked well."] So, since we are stuck in the soundbite culture, let's try and make it interesting. Perhaps a "diversity" of soundbites.
To crib an idea from the realtors (location, location, location), we need "diversity, diversity, diversity" to counter the climate volatility that is part and parcel of global warming/climate change. It is unlikely the Obama administration will actually show leadership on climate change at Copenhagen in December, and many people are starting to see this summit as a watershed event. By January, it should be clear the responsibility is up to all of us. We will just have to mitigate the effects as well as we can. In the field, diversity in crops helps mitigate climate swings and local weather blips. If my green beans are no good this year, perhaps my tomatoes will have a bumper crop and take up the slack. If I cannot grow wheat this year, perhaps my triticale will give me enough grain to get by on flatbread and quasi-vollkorn loaves until next year.
Back in my undergraduate years, I heard a good comment from one of my instructors about eugenics; "If you try to improve the species by getting rid of the unfit individuals, you lose the inherent diversity they bring to the gene pool." Concise, compact, coherent. The analogy to our monocropping mania should be apparent. If you try to grow miles and miles of corn by getting rid of all the weeds and insects, you lose the inherent diversity that keeps natural predators and symbiots onsite and doing their job. I try to crush the GMO arguments with a similar argument, "Genetically-modified organisms have not been put under phenotypic pressure. They are dangerous because they have not been subjected to natural selection."
Of course, using soundbites always runs the risk of being misunderstood. However, consider their lesser ability to be taken out of context. The essence of soundbite is that it is largely self-contained. We can use this to our advantage.
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Posted by Walter
@ 04:04 PM PDT
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Most direct marketers are aware of the importance of niche creation. As farmers or artisans, we don't need to sell to everybody, like the supermarkets. We can survive by selling to a select few. Where the disagreement and confusion comes in seems to be how wide the niche needs to be. In my situation, I only need 60 loyal customers/shareholders to make a living. Other sustainable farmers think they need a large, undefinable number of customers and this naturally leads to tactics like third party organic certification, expanding markets to the Seattle area (100 miles away), and three days a week at farmers markets. But the flaw in these marketing ideas is not quantifying how many customers you actually need. You don't have to sell to everybody and you can survive by actually narrowing the niche to your most loyal customers/shareholders/associates/comrades/what-have-you. I would rather have fewer customers who actually understand simple food grown sustainably from soil that is well-cared-for.
For another aspect of niche creation, let's look at the New York Times Book Review of Peter Richardson's new book on Ramparts Magazine, A Bomb in Every Issue, just published by the New York Press. Here is the penultimate paragraph in the review.
Although Ramparts continued to break important stories that the establishment press ignored, the magazine didn't glisten after Hinckle the impresario left. Richardson attibutes the decline to a number of causes. Like all niche-creating magazines, Ramparts attracted competition that wound up stealing readers; at the same time, it abandoned part of its audience by embracing New Left orthododoxy, which "rejected anything short of revolution." The magazine also ran out of liberal millionaire donors. Its accrued losses must have run into the tens of millions, making it unlike pantheon magazines that made money.
Notice the sentence, "Like all niche-creating magazines, Ramparts attracted competition that wound up stealing readers . . ." We can see this same worry in the rise of niche protection in organic/sustainable agriculture. As an example, when we moved the Ferndale Farmers Market onto the Riverwalk in downtown Ferndale in 2008, one of the members of the board of the Bellingham Farmers Market asked us to open Sundays instead of Saturdays, so we wouldn't compete with them. Personally, I thought this was ludicrous, since we were so much smaller and not a real threat to them. Another example is that of another organic farmer in Whatcom County, who started using "Startlingly Fresh" in his marketing literature a year after I started my tag line of "Fresh, Absolutely!"
Now, both of these examples are tempests in teapots. It didn't really hurt the Bellingham Farmers Market to have competition, simply because direct-marketed, organic/sustainable produce is less than 1% of what people buy in Whatcom County. By the same token, copying my tag line concept doesn't hurt me either, since our produce is such a miniscule percentage of what people buy. Our task is really to create more niches. One could say that we are broadening the "organic/sustainable" niche, but we really do have a multiplicity of niches. I cater to the more politically active, while the unnamed farmer above caters to the warm & fuzzy co-op crowd. In other words, let's broaden our number of niches, rather than broadening a large generalized niche that we call "organic" and "sustainable." An added bonus to this specificity will be that the big brouhaha over certified organic will just naturally fall away. Put another way, by narrowing our niche to a few valued customers, they will of course be local and the local, community-building aspects of direct marketing will naturally fall into place, WITHOUT giving Washington state and the USDA their pound of flesh.
Finally, Ramparts did indeed have a hand in its own demise, which the author attributes to the magazine embracing "New Left orthodoxy." The emphasis on "New Left orthodoxy" is ridiculous of course, as the real trend of the 60's reached its conclusion in a synthesis of the hip & radical and culminated in co-ops, back-to-the-landers, the environmental movement and an enhanced feminist movement. Since I was there, I can state with some experience that the "New Left orthodoxy" was honored in the breach more than in fact. Bespectacled potty-mouthed Marxists in their ratty outfits were still around, but once they had to actually burn a few calories to stock shelves or hoe carrots, they soon left for university positions teaching political science. The real reason for Ramparts' demise was the departure of Warren Hinckle, although their business model of extracting guilt money from liberal donors was only viable when the economy was flush. After Nixon wrecked the economy, the funding from liberal patrons dried up. Ramparts did indeed serve a useful role in the journalism of the 60's (the real journalism, as typified by the underground newspapers I used to sell), but it was an artifact of the era. It may have some lessons for us still, but we really need to think creatively ourselves and solve our problems today, right now, pronto. One way to go about this is to think about niche marketing in a more creative, sophisticated manner.
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Posted by Walter
@ 09:59 AM PDT
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As promised in my last post, I will give you my take on Paul Roberts' article in Mother Jones. It was titled "Spoiled: Organic and Local Is So 2008," and was published in March 2, 2009. Here is your online link. http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2009/02/spoiled-organic-and-local-so-2008
This is an important article for several reasons. Paul Roberts is a well-respected author, whose previous books, The End of Oil (2005) and The End of Food (2008), have influenced many people and given him a high profile in the peak oil and sustainability debates. I have only read The End of Food, but it was quite good in pointing out how farmers have to grow 2-3 times more food than needed in order to have the "perfect" produce retailers and restaurateurs have come to expect from the industrial agribusiness distribution system. Of course, the "less than perfect" produce sells at commodity prices and requires secondary markets that focus on value-added products. Thus, even if you get $3.00 per pound for some of your tomatoes to a high-end restaurant, most of your tomatoes may go for 35 cents a pound to a sauce company. This also assumes you actually have these secondary outlets, which have declined in number over the years. For example, Ferndale used to have a Simplot carrot processing facility but it is long gone and the Bellingham food processors are all gone too. Thus, the secondary markets are donations to the food banks and the resultant tax breaks - a pitiful substitute for anyone actually wanting to make a living on the farm. The upshot is that Roberts extends the logic of his investigations to show you some of the results that are not readily apparent.
In the Mother Jones article, however, he only implies what the end point is. This is unfortunate, as he seems to realize he will eventually end up supporting Monsanto and BP in their greenwashing. In his article, he starts out presenting an eastern Washington farmer, Fred Fleming, who is using no-till methods to grow wheat and stop erosion, which has become a real problem in eastern Washington. Unfortunately, no-till requires a lot of herbicides, since the lack of mechanical cultivation encourages weeds. This, of course, engenders no respect from what Roberts calls "the alternative food crowd" and Roberts next asks the question, "What should replace the bad old industrial system?" So far, Roberts is right on target. He delineates the problem, presents one alternative and focuses in on the crux of the matter. However, his next steps in his argument fall under the broad banner of spin and this is where he and I disagree.
Roberts is correct in stating that, "We're going to need not only new methods for producing food, but a whole new set of assumptions about what sustainability really means." However, he falls into the realm of spin when he focuses on food miles and repeats the tired old argument that it is more efficient in energy usage to get produce on a semi from California, rather than from a local farmer. I have addressed this issue with all the calorie numbers necessary in other blog posts, so I will only state a quick recap. My produce has a calorie load of 17 calories per pound if I go to the Ferndale Farmers Market and 62 calories per pound if I go to the Bellingham Farmers Market. The calorie load for the average produce that travels 1500 miles on a semi is 263 calories per pound. Now if I were to truck produce down to Seattle (100 miles away), I would have 620 calories per pound because of the size of my pickup and this would indeed be more than the calorie load from the semi-hauled produce. Thus, there will be an actual mileage point at which the local produce ceases being efficient. This is FAR, FAR different from a blanket statement that locally produced and transported produce is not efficient. This tired old argument (Or should I say tired NEW argument?) also ignores the transport calories required to get the produce to the central distribution point where it is packed and loaded onto trucks, something that is included in the local farmers market calorie calculation. In short, Roberts sets up a straw man and proceeds to demolish it.
Roberts makes other arguments in the article which also seem cogent, but are revealed as unworthy once you deconstruct them. For example, his assertion that, "The local-food movement, too, must learn to bend. The reality of 21st-century America is that food demand is centered in cities, while most arable land is in rural areas." This is a valid introductory salvo, but it does not necessarily lead to specialization of food products on rural lands far removed from the cities themselves, as Roberts maintains. This specialization is part of the current structure of modern agriculture that has gotten us into this problem and it is still heavily dependent on cheap oil. Roberts' alternative of "much larger geographic systems," while still smaller than the globalization model of mid-winter raspberries from Chile, for example, still runs into the same difficulties of excessive amounts of energy used in transport of specialized moncultures produced far away from the cities themselves. In other words, Roberts is advocating for a smaller version of the same old cheap oil model. Right now our food is distributed via fossil fuels that are still cheap and the distinctions are merely stopping points on the same continuum. Raspberries from Chile use more energy to get to us than produce trucked from California, which uses more energy than pears grown in Hood River, Oregon, and shipped to Portland. However, pears or raspberries grown right in Multnomah County (the county where Portland is situated) will still have a smaller energy footprint than those grown in Hood River. [Disclaimer: I picked pears in Hood River when I was a migrant worker, so I have some knowledge of this industry.] As I said in the previous paragraph, you can measure the energy load, whether you use calories (actually kilocalories - a blip that is from the nutritionists and will probably be with us forever) or kilowatt hours (KWH) or British thermal units (BTU) or joules, all of which are mathematically interchangeable. Once you calculate the energy load you will arrive at a quantitative assessment. Making assertions without quantification is just another form of spin based on your credibility as an author and Roberts really should know better.
Another difficulty is that Roberts assumes the locavore model is mature (which it isn't) and that it actually has a significant impact on food distribution (which it doesn't). Currently, local food feeds between 1-4% of people across the US (depending on your source - Roberts says 2%) and in statistical terms, is only as significant as a Type I error due to randomness. In other words, the locavore movement is more important for educational and propaganda purposes than in actual food delivered. Setting it up as a straw man that "must learn to bend" is disingenuous.
Okay, bottom line time. Is Roberts' article worth a quick read? Yes. Is it worth a close read? Yes. However, is he poised on a "slippery slope," to use his own words? Yes. Does this slippery slope lead to more of the same - subsidies, monoculture, specialization of human endeavor, disassociation of city and country, and net profits for farmers so low that no one in their right mind would go into farming? Yes. Have Monsanto and BP already staked out their claim to this "new" territory? Yes. Does Roberts actually propose viable alternatives? NO.
Here's an alternative. You must reach down into your pockets and pay sustainable farmers a fair price for the food they grow with low fossil fuel inputs. You must do your own marketing and devise more alternative forms of transport. This will leave the farmer more time to farm. Once the farmer can make a living, there will be plenty of starry-eyed young newbies who will continue past their first year or even six-month efforts. While you are doing this, you should till up your lawns and grow food. Eventually, we will get to the point where 75% of a city's food comes from within 25-50 miles of the city (my personal measurement of local). At this point we should have achieved the 20% Solution. As I have maintained for some time now, there is no real solution to the peak oil/climate change crisis without 20% of the adult population working as full-time farmers. Many people disagree with me on this. Paul Roberts thinks that sustainability needs a modification of our current system, with smarter management. I don't buy it. Do you?
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Posted by Walter
@ 11:33 AM PDT
On September 21, 2009, the Seattle Times published an article titled, "Northwest Farmers Band Together to Market Their Own Flour" by Melissa Allison. Here is the link to this article http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2009909525_localflour21.html. As usual, the article was all about marketing the product and only peripherally mentions the actual farming. A glaring omission in the article became evident when it mentioned the no-till practices of Fred Fleming and the other growers involved in the Shepherds Grain marketing cooperative. No-till, as practiced in commodities agriculture, usually relies on massive amounts of Roundup and other herbicides to kill weeds. Yet the article hyped the "buy-local angle" and the purported healthy and nutritional aspects of the Shepherds Grain wheat for artisan bakers and retail consumers. In other words, these farmers are getting a premium price for their grain because of the marketing niche created by the real organic/local/sustainable farmers. In other words they have jumped on the bandwagon under false pretenses. If you go to this article, you can read the 32 comments posted before the comment period closed and you will notice that they are overwhelmingly suckered into thinking that Shepherds Grain wheat is somehow healthier and better for the local community. Nearly all the commenters failed to realize that Shepherds Grain wheat is still grown with herbicides and chemical fertilizers. I fault the article writer for this misperception.
For another journalist's slant on no-till wheat, check out Paul Roberts' article in Mother Jones for March 2, 2009, "Spoiled: Organic and Local Is So 2008." Here is the link: http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2009/02/spoiled-organic-and-local-so-2008. Roberts first four paragraphs discuss Fred Fleming and his use of Roundup and no-till practices for erosion control. Roberts then goes on to lambast the organic and local movements. The logical extension of his arguments is to agree with Monsanto, Cargill and others, who are now mounting extensive ad campaigns that we need MORE biotech solutions to feed the world, MORE agricultural subsidies for corporate agriculture, and MORE globalization. This is nonsense, of course, but Roberts is following in the path of many of the so-called peak oil "experts" who cannot grasp that they will have to get off their duffs, out from behind their computers, and actually work with their hands once they cannot get enough fossil fuels to continue with their profligate modern lifestyles - which includes writing books and getting fees on their lecture tours. Paul Roberts most famous book is The End of Oil (2005) and he also wrote The End of Food (2008). I have a few issues with Paul Roberts and I hope to address his Mother Jones' article specifically in my next blog. However, here are my comments to Melissa Allison in an email about her article. They may seem brutal to you, but I am not above calling someone on their intellectual dishonesty. [Disclaimer: ALL email is public property, including my own. This is just the reality of the cyberworld.]
Wheat Article Seattle Times 9-21-09
Melissa - I just finished reading your article on no-till wheat growing in eastern Washington. Unfortunately, it is just another "feel-good" fluff piece. Here are my criticisms: 1) Industrial farming with diesel-powered combines and planters is not sustainable. How do we measure sustainability? Energy use, whether by joules, BTU's, KWH's, or kilocalories, all of which are interchangeable. For example, last year I grew 2.2 million kilocalories of vegetables using 1.1 million kilocalories of human and fossil fuel inputs. This year, I project 5 million kilocalories from 1 million kilocalories. This is using tillers, hand labor and no tractors. I suspect the farmers in the Shepherds Grain group are stuck in the usual commodity trap of using 10 kilocalories of fossil fuel to produce 1 kilocalorie of food. As a general rule, anytime you use tractors, you are not sustainable. This includes almost all of the so-called organic/natural/sustainable farmers right here in Whatcom County. Even an old Ford 8N uses a tremendous amount of energy in use and in the embedded calories of the tractor's construction and maintenance. BTW, calories and kilocalories are usually used interchangeably in nutrition and food production, simply because nutritionists started using the terms interchangeably and now the "calories" listed on your bag of flour are actually kilocalories. Everyone just accepts the blip. 2) Wheat grown in the Palouse and shipped over to Seattle and Portland is not local. Many economists are now poking holes in locavore arguments by showing that produce shipped 1500 miles on a semi is actually more energy efficient than a pickup load of produce trucked down to Seattle from Bellingham, for instance. This argument is sound up to a definable point on your odometer, usually somewhere between 25-50 miles. Thus, if I take a load of produce to Bellingham (25 miles roundtrip) in my Mistubishi pickup, the energy load per pound of produce is small. However, if I take the same load to Seattle (200 miles roundtrip), the energy load is much larger. You can find calculations on my Local Harvest blog if you like. The link is: http://www.localharvest.org/blog/15945/entry/some_common_errors3) No-till agriculture is just another tool of industrial agriculture. There is no alternative paradigm in use, such as "feed the soil rather than feed the plant." The farmers who practice it are certainly being good stewards in terms of erosion control, but so are a lot of industrial farmers. Typically, no-till wheat production uses more chemical fertilizer and more herbicides, although there may be efficiencies in the scale of the operation. The no-till methods, as referenced in your article, do not use organic practices. There are some organic no-till methods being researched by the Rodale Institute in Pennsylvania, but I noticed the word "organic" was conspicuously absent in your article. Here are some links for you about no-till. http://www.hpj.com/archives/2009/jan09/jan12/No-tillisatoollikeadiskorap.cfmhttp://pnw-winderosion.wsu.edu/Docs/Publications/07%20pubs/EsserFall.pdf4) Since you are a business reporter, your slant was of course related to the modern business model, which requires marketing first and production second. However, letting these marketeers get the benefits of efforts I and countless other real local, sustainable farmers and soil stewards have achieved over the years is a bit over the top. These farmers are making money from "feel-good" efforts slanted towards the uninformed public, while still using industrial, fossil-fuel-intensive farming practices. You are in the position of aiding and abetting their scam. Your article is Panglossian and misleading. Walter Haugen, F.A. Farm, Ferndale, www.fafarm.org "Our carbon footprint is small and our produce is tasty."
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Posted by Walter
@ 10:38 AM PDT
The so-called peak oil "experts" are starting to get a little disgruntled. For example, Nate Hagens has written a piece called "Whither The Oil Drum?" that can be found at the Energy Bulletin website http://www.energybulletin.net/node/50288. The upshot of Hagen's essay is that people aren't taking the problem seriously. More awareness, yes - more action to mitigate the crisis, no. He even questions whether the Oil Drum website should continue and whether the concept of Peak Oil should be reframed. He makes some good points, but he doesn't seem to be invested for the long term, which is part of the problem he delineates. He is disgruntled over the lack of progress in just four years (since 2005). He needs to settle in for a 40 year (or more!) time span as I, and other activists, have done. Over time, some clarity will likely emerge. For example, notice how I used the term "mitigate," rather than "solve" the Peak Oil crisis. We can think of mitigation as making the "bad" less bad. In other words, there is no solution, but we can make the situation more tolerable, or "less bad." It's like playing on the defensive back line in soccer. Because you are not in possession of the ball and so do not initiate action, you are always being reactive. Very often you only have choices between the "least bad" of several alternatives. Being proactive is foolish unless you have a second defender right behind you. This analogy illustrates the essence of mitigation. In the peak oil/climate change dilemma, we only have choices among bad alternatives. [If you really think we can develop renewable energy resources fast enough and in sufficient quantities to replace oil, you have NOT been paying attention. Ditto for the airy-fairy idea that we can develop enough community-based alternatives that we can keep our cushy, whitebread lifestyles.] We need to choose the "least bad" alternative. One of my alternatives that I continue to flog incessantly is that we need to move toward 20% of our adult population working as full-time farmers. This will take up more of the excess labor painfully available right now and provide more local food that is grown sustainably. This alternative accepts the fact that the era of cheap food is over. There are still good deals to be had right now, but that could end at any time. Locally grown potatoes at a good price will continue. In short, mitigation is not just a concept for archaeologists wishing to preserve cultural resources of ethnic groups the main culture tried to wipe out in the past. It has an inherent quality of accepting that we are in deep doo-doo; dare I say doomed? How do you get up and do your work every day when you accept that we are on a short leash? You might want to get used to this constant grinding pressure. Think on it as you weed your carrots.
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Posted by Walter
@ 08:42 AM PDT
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